Chinese HR managers will face a tougher situation no matter what happens to the Chinese economy. If the Chinese economy keeps booming, then they are going to face a continuing wage spiral and shortages of key middle-managers. If the economy slows down then they are going to be pressured to cut costs and hold on to their most effective workers.
Managers in China truly are between a rock and a hard place. On the one hand, there is more and more pressure on the HR department to fill middle-management and senior professional level vacancies and deal with their companies’ rapid growth. On the other hand, they are seeing their budget plans get destroyed by ever-rising salary demands from potential employees. HR managers are caught in an impossible situation – they are being asked to accomplish more and more with dwindling resources.
The Bad news –
China’s attrition rate among managers is among the highest in the world. Job-hopping is rampant, and salaries are escalating beyond reason. Even mediocre managers have learned that the fastest way to a big raise is to quit their jobs and head for greener pastures. The “50% Bump”, or raise in salary, may be more hype then reality – but it has definitely become every Shanghai manager’s favorite misconception.
The Worse news –
The trend shows no sign of abating any time soon. Using HK salaries as a benchmark, it used to be a safe ‘rule of thumb’ to offer a Shanghai manager 30% of his HK counterpart’s salary. That will get you nothing but a disdainful sneer these days. Now the general negotiation seems to start at 50% and salaries for many upper-level managerial posts are approaching 1:1 with HK. As long as new MNCs keep piling into Shanghai, the pressure on wages is going to continue.
The even WORSE news-
Higher salaries are NOT necessarily resulting in higher levels of skills or professionalism. Yes, many managers with 3 or 4 years of experience are outstanding performers. But the headlong rush to grow departments and expand companies means that many sub-par managers have been swept along and promoted as a result of just showing up for work most days during the last 6 months. BUT your corporate HR offices have noted that your salary budgets are approaching other developed markets like HK, Taipei and Singapore, and now the big bosses at your company are starting to expect similar levels of productivity. In other words, your corporate HQ will only be willing to pay top renmenbi for top-level performance. That’s when YOUR office starts feeling the heat.
What can the Chinese HR manager do?
In the short term, your only option is to continue shelling out big RMB for whatever overpaid MBA you can get to fill the immediate vacancies. The company is growing, and present managers are leaving at an average rate of 16% annually. That means it’s a very competitive market, and your only option in the short term is pay market rates. You may have seen the job-hopping activity at your company slow down in recent weeks, but that is just the calm before the storm. After Chinese New Year bonuses get paid, you can expect to see the resumes flying and the managerial chairs emptying.
Looking out to the future you should start 2006 with a strong training and management development program that will insure you an adequate supply of home-grown managerial talent in the years to come. That’s not a quick process, however, and in meantime you have to start CONTROLING EXPECTATIONS. See to it that your bosses understand the situation, and make sure you have some constructive, proactive ideas for dealing with it. Here are three tried & true HR strategies for dealing with a tough talent market.
1) Manpower plans.
That expat manager running your company is going to notice that salaries have gone up by 50 – 100% in the last 3 years. That’s precisely the kind thing he gets paid to notice.
Here’s the situation: There’s an excellent chance that he suspects that you are to blame for the hefty increase in salaries. But, if you make the right kind of proactive moves, he will blame the young overpaid, job-hopping MBAs.
Over the years, HR managers have developed a special technique for telling senior managers that burgeoning salary budgets are not their fault. It’s called the Manpower Plan.
A manpower plan indicates what kind and what quantity of positions you will need to fill over the next 3 years. Difficult? Oh, hell yeah. But if you put the salary requirements down in black and white, you stand a much better chance of getting support from your bosses when you start offering mediocre managers HK level salaries in 2006.
Think of the manpower plan as a formal document that says, “Hey, it’s not MY fault. I told you the market prices were going up.”
2) Have a Plan B.
Build your own management team. You don’t always have to buy experienced managers in the marketplace. You can build your own from scratch. Two successful methods are:
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Management Development Plans
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Training Programs
The great thing about MD and Training programs are, they buy you a little time (2-4 years for MD, a bit less for Training programs), and actually expand your range of responsibilities (i.e.: POWER and BUDGET). Doesn’t that mean more work? Not necessarily. Try including a few new HR assistants in the Manpower Plan. Ah? Yeah – that’s thinking like a manager!
3) Performance Based Pay and Incentive Plans
If you’re paying HK salaries, someone is going to expect HK level performance. When it comes to managers, you will have a lot more success using the carrot of financial reward, rather than the stick of threatened termination. Two effective ways of bribing your managers to perform well are Bonuses and Variable Pay programs.
Bonuses.
Bonuses used to be a reward for a job well done, or recognition of special effort. Nowadays, bonuses are a simple, effective way to control your attrition rate. In other words, you only get the big bucks if you hang around until next year. Since most bonuses aren’t negotiated in advance it gives you and your managers a little more control over quality.
Variable Pay for Specific performance.
The bad news – it’s very hard to figure out what the desired performance should be. (Everyone wants “good” employees, but what does that really mean? High sales, new deals, cost reduction?) Variable pay and financial incentives only work if the criteria for success are very specific and measurable. These incentive programs fit in well with the appraisal system that you probably already have in place.
The Good news – if you are the first to suggest the idea, you can try to push the responsibility to determine the criteria and standards onto the line managers. Your corporate bosses are happy that you are linking performance to pay, and your line managers are doing your work for you.